Bayesian Approaches to Plane Mystery

Al Jazeera America reports that Bayseian statistical approaches might help resolve the disturbing, engrossing mystery of the disappearance of MH370.

Math equation could help find missing Malaysian plane

“It’s a very short, simple equation that says you can start out with hypothesis about something — and it doesn’t matter how good the hypothesis is,” said Sharon Bertsch McGrayne, author of “The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy.”

That’s because the hypothesis can keep changing and improve, and still be used with the theorem, McGrayne told Al Jazeera.

“You are committed to modify that hypothesis every time a new piece of information arises,” McGrayne said…..

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